By SFO | July 25, 2008

European Mid Morning Update 5th June 2008

Waiting for the postman
News from Europe:                                                    Forecast    ActualU.K. May HBOS House Prices  (MoM)  - 1.0%    - 2.4%U.K. May HBOS House Prices  (YoY)   - 3.5%    - 3.8%
The U.K. housing market is looking more and more like following the U.S. with the Halifax Building Society reporting a drop in prices over May of – 2.4% to bring the […]

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By SFO | July 25, 2008

European Morning Update 5th June 2008

A quiet Asian session sees the Dollar underpinned ahead of the ECB & BOE rate decisions
Releases from Australia:                                      Forecast    ActualApril Trade Balance  AUD    -1.70bn   -957mn
Coal and gold exports provided Australia with a large decrease in their trade deficit while a 10% drop in capital goods imports also contributed. The drop in capital goods was caused […]

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By SFO | July 25, 2008

Asian Morning Update 5th June 2008

Like a bachelor the market has a fear of commitment…
Releases from Europe:
April                                       Forecast    ActualEuro-zone Retail Sales   (MoM)    +0.2%    - 0.6%Euro-zone Retail Sales    (YoY)    - 0.8%    - 2.9%
MayU.K. Services PMI                          50.5       49.8
Releases from the States: May                                             Forecast    ActualChallenger Job Cuts             (YoY)                103.5KADP Employment Change               - 30.0K    +40.0KNon-Manufacturing ISM Composite      51.0        51.7
Jobs data was mixed while the non-manufacturing ISM was much […]

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By SFO | April 24, 2008

European Mid Morning Update 24th April 2008

Early Europe awaits numbers
Releases from Europe:      April                                                Forecast   Actual    French Business Confidence Indicator    108.0     106.0French Production Outlook Indicator      - 13.0      - 9.0Italian Consumer Confidence Index        99.6       99.8
French business confidence declined in April but the outlook improved mildly as did Italian consumer confidence. The past month has seen numbers look a little better although retail sales has looked […]

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By SFO | April 24, 2008

European Morning Update 24th April 2008

Dollar slightly firmer in Asian trading
Releases from Japan:                                                               Forecast    Actual    February All Industry Activity Index   (MoM)    - 0.5%    - 1.4%March Corporate Service Price           (YoY)     +0.7%    +0.4%
Japan’s All Industry Activity Index inevitably followed the poor showing in the Tertiary Index earlier in the week with a -1.4% decline in February. Rather surprisingly it has been the weakness in […]

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By SFO | April 24, 2008

Asian Morning Update 24th April 2008

Inflation, interest rates and red herrings…
European releases overnight:
February                                              Forecast    Actual Italian Retail Sales                     (MoM)   - 0.1%    +0.3%Italian Retail Sales                      (YoY)    +0.6%    +2.7%Euro-zone Industrial New Orders   (MoM)   - 0.4%    +0.6%Euro-zone Industrial New Orders    (YoY)    +5.7%    +9.9%
AprilEuro-zone Manufacturing PMI (P)                 51.6       50.8Euro-zone Services PMI (P)                         51.4       51.8Euro-zone Composite PMI (P)                     51.5        51.9
The BOE minutes revealed a sizeable split […]

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By SFO | April 24, 2008

European Mid Morning Update 23rd April 2008

Energy and food prices continue to strangle consumer spending power
Releases from Europe:
March                                              Forecast    ActualFrench Consumer Spending    (MoM)    - 0.3%    - 1.7%French Consumer Spending    (MoM)    +2.8%    +1.2%
AprilFrench Manufacturing PMI (P)                 51.6       51.5French Services PMI (P)                         56.8       54.0German Manufacturing PMI (P)               54.8       53.6German Services PMI (P)                       51.5       54.6
More evidence of a consumer squeeze as French consumer spending crashed by […]

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By SFO | April 24, 2008

European Morning Update 23rd April 2008

Dollar stable before the European PMI numbers
Releases from Australia:
                                                    Forecast           ActualQ1 CPI                               (QoQ)   +1.1%            +1.3%Q1 CPI                                (YoY)   +4.0%            +4.2%Q1 RBA Trimmed Mean         (QoQ)   +0.9%            +1.2%Q1 RBA Trimmed Mean          (YoY)   +3.8%            +4.1%Q1 RBA Weighted Median      (QoQ)   +0.9%            +1.3%Q1 RBA Weighted Median       (YoY)   +4.0%            +4.4%
April DEWR Skilled Vacancies  (MoM)   -2.2% (prior)   - 0.8% April DEWR Skilled Vacancies   (YoY)   -6.8% […]

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By SFO | April 24, 2008

Asian Morning Update 23rd April 2008

There is no such thing as impossible…
European releases overnight:
March                                             Prior        RevisedMarch Italian Trade Bal Non-EU  EUR  -1.31bn   -1.33bn
Overnight saw the usual barrage of comments from ECB officials on inflation. Noyer said he found it hard to believe that inflation will continue at current levels and said the ECB will hike rates if needed.
Nice […]

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By SFO | April 24, 2008

European Mid Morning Update 22nd April 2008

Dollar making gains in early Europe
Releases from Europe:                                              Forecast    Actual March Swiss Trade Balance  CHF   0.70bn    1.25bn
The Swiss trade balance is holding up reasonably well but overall declining – exports taking an 8% fall. Given the current global circumstances this trend is likely to continue for the time being.
The following economic releases are due today:
MarchMarch […]

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