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Entries for November, 2008

Euro-US Dollar Surges on Bigger-Than-Expected Drop in US CPI Only to Drop Later on Risk Aversion

The US dollar initially weakened versus the euro upon the release of US inflation figures, only to rebound in the afternoon as dim prospects for an auto industry bailout lead stocks lower and boosted demand for safe-haven assets. Looking at the data on hand, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) plunged…
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Drop in Consumer Prices and Weak Housing Drops US Stocks

US consumer prices fell by the most in 61 years, dropping 1% in October, a bigger fall than predicted by economists. The main catalyst for the decline was an 8.6% reduction in the price of energy, though food prices ticked up 0.3%. Core prices, which exclude both energy and food,…
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On Japanese Growth, Population, and the Yen

Japan official estimates of GDP have earned a reputation for inaccuracy. Data measurement is a problem that officials have worked on with some success. But reported growth rates still occasionally produce outsized surprises and subsequent revisions. While gross domestic product measures the value of goods and services in a specific…
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Stocks Slammed After FOMC Downgrades Its GDP and Employment Estimates

The DOW and S&P made new closing lows for the credit crisis on Thursday after the Federal Reserve said the economy could contract through the first half of 2009. Also, the Labor Department said earlier that prices in October declined the most since 1947 while the Census Bureau said housing…
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Currency Pair Overview

The currency market extended the sideways moves seen in the Asian session in European trading. Most of the pairs have traded in a very small range, not being able to move significantly. Lately, the currency market tends to come to a standstill during the overnight session, and revives close to…
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FOMC Downgrades Its GDP and Employment Estimates

The Federal Reserve cuts its estimate for U.S. growth in 2009 and raised its estimates for unemployment, according to minutes released today of the Oct. 28-29 meeting. Fed officials said they expect the economy to contract moderately in the second half of 2008 and the first half of 2009, and…
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USD Recovers Footing

The major currencies whipsawed in the Tuesday session, with the greenback recovering from earlier losses in New York trading. The dollar tumbled to lows against the euro and sterling at 1.2813 and 1.5248, respectively, before recovering by the afternoon session.
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Stocks Slide On Data/Dollar Mixed

Stocks declined Wednesday morning as data on inflation, housing and gasoline demand continued to indicate the economy is in recessionary territory. Housing starts and building permits fell to their lowest annual rate on record in October, the Census Bureau said today. CPI had its largest monthly decline since 1947 and…
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U.S. Market Update

The greenback moved lower ahead of the equity open on what appeared at first to be a technical correction or maybe some kind of intervention. Dealing desks later decided that the USD sell-off was just a reaction to the morning’s spike in gold and oil prices following the weak US…
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Where Bank of England Policymakers Are Seeking Future Guidance

Minutes from the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) early-November meeting candidly reveal that policymakers believe that they would ultimately need to cut rates by more than 200 basis points from the 4.5% level but were reluctant do more than 150 basis points until markets better understand their thinking and the factors…
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